As we approach Gameweek 4 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL), clean sheets remain a valuable commodity for FPL managers looking to maximize points from defenders and goalkeepers.
With clean sheet odds varying based on matchups, this article breaks down the most and least likely teams to keep a clean sheet, helping you make informed decisions when selecting your defensive assets.
Premier League Gameweek 4 Clean Sheet Predictions
Here is a list of all 20 Premier League teams for Gameweek 4, ranked from the highest clean sheet odds to the lowest – Clean sheet odds predictions are gotten from drafthound:
| Team | Opponent | Clean Sheet % |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool (LIV) | Nottingham Forest (H) | 55% |
| Man City (MCI) | Brentford (H) | 50% |
| Brighton (BHA) | Ipswich (H) | 48% |
| Aston Villa (AVL) | Everton (H) | 44% |
| Crystal Palace (CRY) | Leicester (H) | 42% |
| Man Utd (MUN) | Southampton (A) | 36% |
| Chelsea (CHE) | Bournemouth (A) | 27% |
| Fulham (FUL) | West Ham (H) | 27% |
| Newcastle (NEW) | Wolves (A) | 27% |
| West Ham (WHU) | Fulham (A) | 23% |
| Wolves (WOL) | Newcastle (H) | 18% |
| Spurs (TOT) | Arsenal (H) | 18% |
| Southampton (SOU) | Man Utd (H) | 17% |
| Leicester (LEI) | Crystal Palace (A) | 17% |
| Bournemouth (BOU) | Chelsea (H) | 17% |
| Everton (EVE) | Aston Villa (A) | 14% |
| Nott’m Forest (NFO) | Liverpool (A) | 8% |
| Brentford (BRE) | Man City (A) | 7% |
| Ipswich (IPS) | Brighton (A) | 11% |
These odds are useful for FPL managers in selecting defenders and goalkeepers for Gameweek 4. Liverpool, Man City, and Brighton have the highest chances of keeping a clean sheet, while teams like Nottingham Forest, Brentford, and Ipswich have very low probabilities.
FPL GW4 Clean Sheet Odds Analysis
Top 5 Teams Most Likely to Keep a Clean Sheet in Gameweek 4
| Team | Opponent | Home/Away | Clean Sheet % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool (LIV) | Nottingham Forest (NFO) | Home | 55% |
| Man City (MCI) | Brentford (BRE) | Home | 50% |
| Brighton (BHA) | Ipswich (IPS) | Home | 48% |
| Aston Villa (AVL) | Everton (EVE) | Home | 44% |
| Crystal Palace (CRY) | Leicester (LEI) | Home | 42% |
Analysis:
- Liverpool (55% Clean Sheet Probability): With the highest clean sheet odds for GW4, Liverpool hosting Nottingham Forest makes their defensive assets like Alisson, Virgil van Dijk, Alexander Arnold and Andrew Robertson prime options for FPL managers.
- Man City (50% Clean Sheet Probability): Defenders such as Rúben Dias, Rico Lewis and Gvardiol will be popular picks this week as they face Brentford.
- Brighton (48% Clean Sheet Probability): A home fixture against newly-promoted Ipswich presents a great opportunity for Brighton defenders like Lewis Dunk or goalkeeper Verbruggen to earn points. Ipswich has found life tough against more established Premier League sides.
- Aston Villa (44% Clean Sheet Probability): Hosting Everton at Villa Park gives Villa defenders such as Konsa and Emiliano Martínez excellent potential for clean sheet points in fpl gw4.
- Crystal Palace (42% Clean Sheet Probability): Palace face Leicester at home defenders like Marc Guéhi and goalkeeper Henderson could reward managers seeking a differential gw4 of fantasy premier league.
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Top 5 Teams Least Likely to Keep a Clean Sheet in Gameweek 4
| Team | Opponent | Home/Away | Clean Sheet % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford (BRE) | Man City (MCI) | Away | 7% |
| Nottingham Forest (NFO) | Liverpool (LIV) | Away | 8% |
| Ipswich (IPS) | Brighton (BHA) | Away | 11% |
| Bournemouth (BOU) | Chelsea (CHE) | Home | 17% |
| Leicester (LEI) | Crystal Palace (CRY) | Away | 17% |
Related read: FPL GW4 Wildcard Team – The Best Gameweek 4 Wildcard Teams
Analysis:
- Brentford (7% Clean Sheet Probability): Brentford travel to Manchester City in what is expected to be a challenging game for them. With only a 7% chance of a clean sheet, Brentford defenders should be avoided this week.
- Nottingham Forest (8% Clean Sheet Probability): Facing a rampant Liverpool away, Forest’s defense is expected to struggle. Their defenders are risky picks, as Liverpool’s frontline has the capability to cause significant damage.
- Ipswich (11% Clean Sheet Probability): Brighton’s potent attack will test Ipswich’s defense heavily. Avoid investing in Ipswich defenders this week, as a clean sheet looks highly unlikely.
- Bournemouth (17% Clean Sheet Probability): While playing at home, Bournemouth faces a rejuvenated Chelsea side. The 17% odds suggest that Bournemouth defenders are not ideal selections.
- Leicester (17% Clean Sheet Probability): Leicester’s odds of keeping a clean sheet are low against Crystal Palace. Leicester defenders are not recommended this week, with Palace likely to create chances.
Key Takeaways for FPL Managers:
- Target Liverpool and Man City Defenders: With Liverpool and Man City having the highest clean sheet odds this week, their defensive assets are essential considerations for your Gameweek 4 FPL team.
- Avoid Brentford and Nottingham Forest Defenders: Both teams have the lowest probabilities of keeping a clean sheet, so it’s best to steer clear of their defensive options in FPL this gameweek.
- Crystal Palace as a Differential: Palace’s 42% clean sheet odds make them a solid choice for managers looking for a differential in defense, with players like Guéhi Munoz and Mitchell providing affordable and potentially rewarding options.
Related Read: FPL GW4 Points Predictions According To AI FPL Predictor
Conclusion
Gameweek 4 presents clear opportunities for clean sheets, especially for teams like Liverpool, Man City, and Brighton.
As always, clean sheets are unpredictable, but using odds as a guide can help managers make smart decisions when selecting defenders and goalkeepers. Consider form, fixtures, and clean sheet probabilities to optimize your FPL team.