Gameweek two of the Premier League saw four clean sheets, which aligned closely with last week’s clean sheet odds predictions.
Today, we’ll be looking at the clean sheet odds for gameweek three. This will undoubtedly help you identify which defenders and teams to target for those valuable clean sheet points in FPL.
Premier League Gameweek 3 Clean Sheet Predictions
| Team | Opponent | Home/Away | Clean Sheet % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal (ARS) | Brighton (BHA) | Home | 50% |
| Man City (MCI) | West Ham (WHU) | Away | 40% |
| Aston Villa (AVL) | Leicester (LEI) | Away | 38% |
| Brentford (BRE) | Southampton (SOU) | Home | 38% |
| Chelsea (CHE) | Crystal Palace (CRY) | Home | 36% |
| Nott’m Forest (NFO) | Wolves (WOL) | Home | 33% |
| Bournemouth (BOU) | Everton (EVE) | Away | 29% |
| Fulham (FUL) | Ipswich (IPS) | Away | 29% |
| Liverpool (LIV) | Man Utd (MUN) | Away | 29% |
| Everton (EVE) | Bournemouth (BOU) | Home | 27% |
| Newcastle (NEW) | Spurs (TOT) | Home | 18% |
| Leicester (LEI) | Aston Villa (AVL) | Home | 18% |
| Southampton (SOU) | Brentford (BRE) | Away | 18% |
| Spurs (TOT) | Newcastle (NEW) | Away | 18% |
| Wolves (WOL) | Nott’m Forest (NFO) | Away | 20% |
| Ipswich (IPS) | Fulham (FUL) | Home | 23% |
| Crystal Palace (CRY) | Chelsea (CHE) | Away | 14% |
| Man Utd (MUN) | Liverpool (LIV) | Home | 14% |
| Brighton (BHA) | Arsenal (ARS) | Away | 11% |
| West Ham (WHU) | Man City (MCI) | Home | 9% |
Related Read: FPL GW3 Points Predictions According To AI
Analysis of Clean Sheet Probabilities for FPL Gameweek 3
Top Five Teams Most Likely to Keep a Clean Sheet:
- Arsenal (50%) – vs Brighton (H)
- Analysis: Arsenal has the highest clean sheet probability at home against Brighton. Given Arsenal’s solid defense and Brighton’s potential struggle in breaking them down, this matchup favors Arsenal’s defenders.
- FPL Strategy: Arsenal defenders like Gabriel, Ben White, or even the goalkeeper David Raya are excellent choices. Their high clean sheet probability makes them a safe bet for defensive points.
- Man City (40%) – vs West Ham (A)
- Analysis: Despite playing away, Man City’s defense remains formidable, and they are up against a West Ham side that might find it difficult to score.
- FPL Strategy: Investing in Man City defenders such as Rúben Dias, or even Ederson as a goalkeeper could prove beneficial, given their strong clean sheet odds.
- Aston Villa (38%) – vs Leicester (A)
- Analysis: Aston Villa is in good shape defensively, especially when playing against a newly promoted Leicester team that hasn’t been very consistent in attack.
- FPL Strategy: Villa defenders like Konsa, Pau Torres, or Luca Digne could offer good value this gameweek. Their solid clean sheet potential makes them attractive picks.
- Brentford (38%) – vs Southampton (H)
- Analysis: Brentford has a strong chance of keeping a clean sheet at home against Southampton, who might struggle to penetrate their defense.
- FPL Strategy: Consider Brentford defenders like Ethan Pinnock. Their defenders provide a cost-effective option for managers looking to invest in a likely clean sheet.
- Chelsea (36%) – vs Crystal Palace (H)
- Analysis: Chelsea playing at home against Crystal Palace increases their chances of securing a clean sheet.
- FPL Strategy: Chelsea defenders like Gusto, Cucurella, or even Fofana are good picks. They offer both defensive solidity and attacking potential.
You might also like: FPL GW3 Wildcard Team – The Best Gameweek 3 Wildcard Teams
Top Five Teams Least Likely to Keep a Clean Sheet:
- West Ham (9%) – vs Man City (H)
- Brighton (11%) – vs Arsenal (A)
- Analysis: Brighton’s defense will be tested heavily against Arsenal. Given the low clean sheet probability, they are unlikely to hold off Arsenal’s attack.
- FPL Strategy: It would be wise to avoid Brighton defenders for this gameweek, as they face a strong attacking side in Arsenal.
- Crystal Palace (14%) – vs Chelsea (A)
- Analysis: Playing away against Chelsea, Crystal Palace has a very low chance of keeping a clean sheet. Chelsea’s attacking options are likely to break through Palace’s defense.
- FPL Strategy: Palace defenders should be avoided this week. The odds are against them, and conceding seems almost certain.
- Man Utd (14%) – vs Liverpool (H)
- Analysis: Manchester United has a tough fixture against Liverpool, and their clean sheet odds are low, especially given Liverpool’s attacking threat.
- FPL Strategy: Avoid investing in Manchester United defenders this gameweek. Liverpool’s potent attack reduces the likelihood of a clean sheet.
Find out the optimal gw3 captain here: Optimal GW3 Captain Picks for FPL Success In Gameweek 3
FPL Strategy Recommendations:
- Top Defenders: FPL managers should focus on defenders from Arsenal, Man City, Aston Villa, Brentford, and Chelsea for this gameweek. These teams have the highest clean sheet probabilities, making their defenders strong candidates for starting spots.
- Avoid Defenders from Vulnerable Teams: Steer clear of defenders from West Ham, Brighton, Crystal Palace, Man Utd, and Nott’m Forest this week. Their low clean sheet odds suggest a higher likelihood of conceding goals.
- Consider Form and Fixtures: Always consider the form of the teams and the difficulty of the fixtures when selecting defenders. Teams with high clean sheet probabilities in favorable matchups are likely to deliver points.
Check out our gameweek 3 predicted lineups article for the expected lineup of all 20 PL teams: FPL GW3 Predicted Lineups and Team News For All 20 PL Teams
By following these recommendations, FPL managers can optimize their defensive picks and maximize their potential for clean sheet points in Gameweek 3.
More Gameweek 3 FPL Resources You Might Find Helpful
FPL GW3 Wildcard Team – The Best Gameweek 3 Wildcard Teams
Top FPL GW3 Differentials – For Each Position
FPL GW3 Team Selection, Scout Picks and Player Picks
FPL Gameweek Three Clean Sheet Odds
FPL GW3 Points Predictions According To AI
Optimal GW3 Captain Picks for FPL Success In Gameweek 3
FPL GW3 Transfer Tips: Nkunku Replacements & “Expert Advice”